Courrier des statistiques N4 - 2020

Continuing with its exploration of the professions and methods associated with official statistics, this issue, N4, firstly addresses a practice that is not usually linked with this area: microsimulation (whether dynamic or static), and how it is used within an NSI or in ministerial departments. Two specific models are explained: TRAJECTOiRE, which looks at the pension system and Ines, which discusses social and fiscal policies. Four papers are then dedicated to benchmarks for statisticians: firstly in France, through the overhaul of the nomenclature of socio-professional categories, the SIRENE company register overhaul programme, and the update to the new master sample. Sweden’s experience is then discussed, which focusses on modelling statistical processes and the organisational impact of this, providing an external contribution that we are particularly pleased with. Finally, the issue rounds off with a panorama of the housing information system in France in its entirety.

Courrier des statistiques
Paru le :Paru le15/09/2022
Pierre Cheloudko, Pensions Researcher, and Henri Martin, Head of the Microeconomic Simulations Unit, at the Research, Studies, Evaluation and Statistics Directorate (DREES)
Courrier des statistiques- September 2022
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A Decade of Modelling the Pension System The Genesis of the TRAJECTOiRE Microsimulation Model

Pierre Cheloudko, Pensions Researcher, and Henri Martin, Head of the Microeconomic Simulations Unit, at the Research, Studies, Evaluation and Statistics Directorate (DREES)

The French pension system is characterised by its highly complex regulatory framework and by the very wide diversity of career profiles of its members. In this context, and in order to best carry out its missions of producing statistical information and shedding light on public policies in the area of pensions, DREES, the Health and Solidarity Ministerial Statistical Department, collects data from the various schemes on a sample of contributors and on a sample of pensioners. Since 2010, DREES has been developing a dynamic microsimulation model based on these two inter-regime samples. TRAJECTOiRE was created through the juxtaposition of three modules: the first models professional careers, the second simulates retirement ages and the third calculates retirement pensions. The development of each new module was made necessary by the limitations of the pre-existing tools. As a particularly rich model, TRAJECTOiRE has since been used on numerous occasions.

Many other institutions, such as INSEE, the main pension schemes and certain government departments and research institutes, have adopted similar models. Although this diversity leads to a fragmentation of resources, it is also an asset for understanding and managing the French pension system.

Paru le :15/09/2022