Informations Rapides ·
24 October 2024 · n° 263
In October 2024, the business climate has slightly decreased in retail trade and in
trade and repair of motor vehicles Monthly survey of retailing - October 2024
In October 2024, the business climate has slightly decreased in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles overall. At 99, the indicator that synthesizes it has lost one point and lies below its long-term average (100). This deterioration is mainly due to the diminution of the balances related to the general business outlook of the sector and the expected change in the workforce size.
- The forward-looking balances of opinion related to the activity of the sector and employment have retreated
- The balance on the expected change in the workforce size has retreated in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) but remains stable in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Revisions
- For more information
In October 2024, the business climate has slightly decreased in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles overall. At 99, the indicator that synthesizes it has lost one point and lies below its long-term average (100). This deterioration is mainly due to the diminution of the balances related to the general business outlook of the sector and the expected change in the workforce size.
tableauComposite indicator
| Business climate synthetic indicator | |
|---|---|
| 2024-10 | 98.9 |
| 2024-09 | 100.0 |
| 2024-08 | 97.3 |
| 2024-07 | 94.1 |
| 2024-06 | 99.4 |
| 2024-05 | 100.9 |
| 2024-04 | 102.1 |
| 2024-03 | 101.3 |
| 2024-02 | 100.4 |
| 2024-01 | 104.0 |
| 2023-12 | 99.8 |
| 2023-11 | 97.1 |
| 2023-10 | 98.3 |
| 2023-09 | 102.6 |
| 2023-08 | 103.2 |
| 2023-07 | 104.3 |
| 2023-06 | 101.3 |
| 2023-05 | 98.0 |
| 2023-04 | 100.6 |
| 2023-03 | 97.9 |
| 2023-02 | 101.3 |
| 2023-01 | 99.8 |
| 2022-12 | 99.4 |
| 2022-11 | 96.8 |
| 2022-10 | 97.9 |
| 2022-09 | 96.5 |
| 2022-08 | 97.5 |
| 2022-07 | 94.5 |
| 2022-06 | 94.1 |
| 2022-05 | 95.4 |
| 2022-04 | 91.3 |
| 2022-03 | 99.5 |
| 2022-02 | 107.0 |
| 2022-01 | 104.7 |
| 2021-12 | 107.6 |
| 2021-11 | 109.0 |
| 2021-10 | 106.7 |
| 2021-09 | 108.0 |
| 2021-08 | 108.7 |
| 2021-07 | 114.0 |
| 2021-06 | 115.5 |
| 2021-05 | 108.1 |
| 2021-04 | 91.8 |
| 2021-03 | 96.6 |
| 2021-02 | 89.9 |
| 2021-01 | 94.1 |
| 2020-12 | 93.6 |
| 2020-11 | 70.7 |
| 2020-10 | 98.4 |
| 2020-09 | 98.1 |
| 2020-08 | 94.5 |
| 2020-07 | 90.0 |
| 2020-06 | 85.5 |
| 2020-05 | 60.8 |
| 2020-04 | 57.8 |
| 2020-03 | 93.2 |
| 2020-02 | 107.6 |
| 2020-01 | 106.7 |
| 2019-12 | 109.1 |
| 2019-11 | 106.9 |
| 2019-10 | 106.6 |
| 2019-09 | 107.2 |
| 2019-08 | 100.3 |
| 2019-07 | 106.5 |
| 2019-06 | 104.0 |
| 2019-05 | 105.1 |
| 2019-04 | 108.3 |
| 2019-03 | 104.5 |
| 2019-02 | 103.2 |
| 2019-01 | 101.4 |
| 2018-12 | 99.6 |
| 2018-11 | 107.1 |
| 2018-10 | 107.2 |
| 2018-09 | 110.3 |
| 2018-08 | 113.6 |
| 2018-07 | 114.7 |
| 2018-06 | 113.2 |
| 2018-05 | 113.5 |
| 2018-04 | 113.8 |
| 2018-03 | 114.0 |
| 2018-02 | 116.9 |
| 2018-01 | 116.9 |
| 2017-12 | 116.6 |
| 2017-11 | 116.3 |
| 2017-10 | 117.1 |
| 2017-09 | 113.6 |
| 2017-08 | 111.3 |
| 2017-07 | 112.1 |
| 2017-06 | 111.3 |
| 2017-05 | 107.2 |
| 2017-04 | 105.8 |
| 2017-03 | 108.2 |
| 2017-02 | 107.9 |
| 2017-01 | 109.2 |
| 2016-12 | 108.5 |
| 2016-11 | 103.2 |
| 2016-10 | 102.0 |
| 2016-09 | 103.0 |
| 2016-08 | 104.8 |
| 2016-07 | 104.7 |
| 2016-06 | 104.2 |
| 2016-05 | 106.4 |
| 2016-04 | 103.0 |
| 2016-03 | 104.1 |
| 2016-02 | 102.6 |
| 2016-01 | 104.3 |
| 2015-12 | 101.7 |
| 2015-11 | 105.4 |
| 2015-10 | 108.6 |
| 2015-09 | 106.2 |
| 2015-08 | 107.0 |
| 2015-07 | 103.3 |
| 2015-06 | 104.6 |
| 2015-05 | 103.4 |
| 2015-04 | 103.4 |
| 2015-03 | 102.4 |
| 2015-02 | 102.4 |
| 2015-01 | 99.1 |
| 2014-12 | 94.4 |
| 2014-11 | 92.8 |
| 2014-10 | 89.2 |
| 2014-09 | 88.3 |
| 2014-08 | 90.5 |
| 2014-07 | 96.8 |
| 2014-06 | 94.6 |
| 2014-05 | 96.4 |
| 2014-04 | 96.5 |
| 2014-03 | 95.4 |
| 2014-02 | 94.6 |
| 2014-01 | 95.2 |
| 2013-12 | 93.9 |
| 2013-11 | 92.0 |
| 2013-10 | 95.3 |
| 2013-09 | 97.8 |
| 2013-08 | 93.4 |
| 2013-07 | 85.1 |
| 2013-06 | 84.9 |
| 2013-05 | 83.3 |
| 2013-04 | 84.3 |
| 2013-03 | 86.4 |
| 2013-02 | 89.6 |
| 2013-01 | 84.7 |
| 2012-12 | 87.9 |
| 2012-11 | 88.2 |
| 2012-10 | 87.3 |
| 2012-09 | 85.6 |
| 2012-08 | 91.0 |
| 2012-07 | 89.3 |
| 2012-06 | 93.1 |
| 2012-05 | 90.8 |
| 2012-04 | 96.0 |
| 2012-03 | 93.3 |
| 2012-02 | 90.6 |
| 2012-01 | 88.0 |
| 2011-12 | 92.9 |
| 2011-11 | 93.9 |
| 2011-10 | 94.6 |
| 2011-09 | 93.9 |
| 2011-08 | 98.3 |
| 2011-07 | 101.3 |
| 2011-06 | 102.0 |
| 2011-05 | 104.0 |
| 2011-04 | 103.2 |
| 2011-03 | 103.9 |
| 2011-02 | 106.7 |
| 2011-01 | 106.9 |
| 2010-12 | 108.1 |
| 2010-11 | 104.4 |
| 2010-10 | 107.8 |
| 2010-09 | 106.1 |
| 2010-08 | 106.5 |
| 2010-07 | 101.1 |
| 2010-06 | 101.3 |
| 2010-05 | 101.9 |
| 2010-04 | 103.3 |
| 2010-03 | 97.8 |
| 2010-02 | 98.7 |
| 2010-01 | 98.2 |
| 2009-12 | 96.5 |
| 2009-11 | 98.3 |
| 2009-10 | 92.6 |
| 2009-09 | 90.3 |
| 2009-08 | 87.3 |
| 2009-07 | 86.0 |
| 2009-06 | 79.2 |
| 2009-05 | 80.2 |
| 2009-04 | 75.1 |
| 2009-03 | 82.6 |
| 2009-02 | 78.1 |
| 2009-01 | 77.2 |
| 2008-12 | 75.9 |
| 2008-11 | 84.2 |
| 2008-10 | 80.4 |
| 2008-09 | 96.7 |
| 2008-08 | 93.0 |
| 2008-07 | 95.4 |
| 2008-06 | 99.7 |
| 2008-05 | 103.4 |
| 2008-04 | 103.6 |
| 2008-03 | 110.0 |
| 2008-02 | 109.1 |
| 2008-01 | 110.4 |
| 2007-12 | 115.0 |
| 2007-11 | 112.9 |
| 2007-10 | 111.6 |
| 2007-09 | 112.0 |
| 2007-08 | 115.4 |
| 2007-07 | 117.5 |
| 2007-06 | 120.9 |
| 2007-05 | 114.8 |
| 2007-04 | 113.6 |
| 2007-03 | 111.3 |
| 2007-02 | 112.8 |
| 2007-01 | 107.9 |
| 2006-12 | 108.5 |
| 2006-11 | 111.0 |
| 2006-10 | 111.9 |
| 2006-09 | 110.5 |
| 2006-08 | 109.9 |
| 2006-07 | 108.2 |
| 2006-06 | 107.8 |
| 2006-05 | 105.4 |
| 2006-04 | 103.7 |
| 2006-03 | 102.3 |
| 2006-02 | 102.8 |
| 2006-01 | 103.2 |
| 2005-12 | 104.2 |
| 2005-11 | 99.7 |
| 2005-10 | 101.9 |
| 2005-09 | 99.3 |
| 2005-08 | 97.9 |
| 2005-07 | 95.9 |
| 2005-06 | 98.0 |
| 2005-05 | 101.4 |
| 2005-04 | 103.8 |
| 2005-03 | 104.3 |
| 2005-02 | 103.8 |
| 2005-01 | 106.2 |
graphiqueComposite indicator
- Source: INSEE
The forward-looking balances of opinion related to the activity of the sector and employment have retreated
In October 2024, the balance related to the general business outlook of the sector has retreated and has moved closer to its long-term average. The balances related to the past and expected sales have also retreated and have moved away from their own. The one related to the ordering intentions is stable, below its own.
The balance of opinion associated with the expected change in the workforce size has retreated and has moved away from its long-term average. Besides, the one on its past change has increased again and has moved closer to its own.
After being stable since July 2024, the balance associated with the current level of stocks has increased and has moved away from its average.
At the same time, the balance of opinion on the expected selling prices is almost stable, just above its long-term average.
Lastly, the balance on the felt economic uncertainty is stable, below its long-term average.
tableauTendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ave. (1) | July 24 | Aug. 24 | Sept. 24 | Oct. 24 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business climate | 100 | 94 | 97 | 100 | 99 |
| General business outlook | -27 | -30 | -27 | -21 | -23 |
| Recent sales | -9 | -18 | -15 | -9 | -13 |
| Expected sales | -4 | -12 | -9 | -7 | -9 |
| Ordering intentions | -9 | -15 | -12 | -11 | -11 |
| Stocks | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -3 | 1 | - | -2 | - |
| Expected selling prices | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 1 |
| Cash position (2) | -15 | -23 | - | -23 | - |
| Past workforce size | -1 | -7 | -7 | -7 | -4 |
| Expected workforce size | -4 | -9 | -6 | -5 | -8 |
| Economic uncertainty felt (3) | 37 | 38 | 33 | 32 | 32 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (except 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions, and April 2021 for uncertainty felt).
- (2) Bimonthly question (odd-numbered months).
- (3) Non-seasonally adjusted balance.
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-10 | -10.8 | -12.7 |
| 2024-09 | -11.3 | -9.3 |
| 2024-08 | -11.9 | -15.1 |
| 2024-07 | -15.4 | -18.2 |
| 2024-06 | -8.6 | -15.3 |
| 2024-05 | -9.2 | -10.4 |
| 2024-04 | -8.1 | -5.3 |
| 2024-03 | -8.4 | -9.8 |
| 2024-02 | -7.6 | -13.5 |
| 2024-01 | -6.4 | -0.9 |
| 2023-12 | -12.4 | -11.9 |
| 2023-11 | -14.8 | -14.5 |
| 2023-10 | -12.4 | -5.4 |
| 2023-09 | -8.3 | 1.0 |
| 2023-08 | -10.9 | 6.0 |
| 2023-07 | -8.5 | -1.3 |
| 2023-06 | -8.8 | -8.1 |
| 2023-05 | -13.6 | -5.6 |
| 2023-04 | -10.3 | -1.1 |
| 2023-03 | -14.5 | -4.6 |
| 2023-02 | -9.1 | -1.4 |
| 2023-01 | -12.0 | 5.9 |
| 2022-12 | -9.5 | -0.7 |
| 2022-11 | -15.4 | 2.0 |
| 2022-10 | -9.9 | -3.1 |
| 2022-09 | -14.6 | -5.6 |
| 2022-08 | -10.5 | -12.7 |
| 2022-07 | -10.6 | -20.3 |
| 2022-06 | -13.0 | -15.6 |
| 2022-05 | -12.4 | -13.0 |
| 2022-04 | -17.8 | -18.4 |
| 2022-03 | -4.6 | -11.3 |
| 2022-02 | -2.0 | -7.3 |
| 2022-01 | -3.5 | -5.0 |
| 2021-12 | -1.1 | -5.7 |
| 2021-11 | -0.5 | -11.3 |
| 2021-10 | -5.1 | -18.1 |
| 2021-09 | -2.5 | -11.8 |
| 2021-08 | 0.0 | 10.7 |
| 2021-07 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 2021-06 | 0.8 | -1.5 |
| 2021-05 | -5.1 | -10.8 |
| 2021-04 | -14.3 | -7.1 |
| 2021-03 | -8.1 | -15.3 |
| 2021-02 | -14.5 | -14.3 |
| 2021-01 | -13.5 | -5.4 |
| 2020-12 | -11.1 | -21.4 |
| 2020-11 | -36.8 | 7.6 |
| 2020-10 | -0.5 | -2.6 |
| 2020-09 | -6.2 | 6.0 |
| 2020-08 | -8.5 | -10.2 |
| 2020-07 | -7.8 | -41.8 |
| 2020-06 | -13.6 | -47.8 |
| 2020-05 | -44.9 | -56.3 |
| 2020-04 | -54.6 | -3.9 |
| 2020-03 | -12.4 | -3.6 |
| 2020-02 | -0.1 | 1.3 |
| 2020-01 | -3.2 | 10.8 |
| 2019-12 | 1.2 | -1.4 |
| 2019-11 | -1.2 | -5.8 |
| 2019-10 | -3.2 | -6.6 |
| 2019-09 | -3.0 | 0.4 |
| 2019-08 | -13.3 | -5.2 |
| 2019-07 | -2.6 | -3.7 |
| 2019-06 | -7.6 | -9.1 |
| 2019-05 | -4.4 | -10.9 |
| 2019-04 | 2.3 | -12.9 |
| 2019-03 | -2.7 | -17.4 |
| 2019-02 | -5.9 | -10.3 |
| 2019-01 | -7.0 | -9.4 |
| 2018-12 | -6.0 | -8.9 |
| 2018-11 | -0.9 | -6.7 |
| 2018-10 | -2.4 | -8.3 |
| 2018-09 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 2018-08 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 2018-07 | 6.6 | -2.1 |
| 2018-06 | 5.6 | -8.7 |
| 2018-05 | 4.4 | -6.8 |
| 2018-04 | 3.8 | -9.9 |
| 2018-03 | 1.8 | -7.9 |
| 2018-02 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| 2018-01 | 5.5 | 1.6 |
| 2017-12 | 5.4 | 1.5 |
| 2017-11 | 7.6 | -4.9 |
| 2017-10 | 9.8 | -0.5 |
| 2017-09 | 2.3 | -1.6 |
| 2017-08 | -0.8 | -1.0 |
| 2017-07 | -1.4 | 5.5 |
| 2017-06 | -1.0 | -5.9 |
| 2017-05 | -3.2 | -5.5 |
| 2017-04 | -3.5 | -11.9 |
| 2017-03 | 0.2 | -1.8 |
| 2017-02 | -0.4 | 4.2 |
| 2017-01 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 2016-12 | -0.1 | -1.2 |
| 2016-11 | -9.2 | -6.3 |
| 2016-10 | -8.2 | -10.7 |
| 2016-09 | -6.1 | -10.5 |
| 2016-08 | -3.9 | -4.1 |
| 2016-07 | -5.1 | -5.1 |
| 2016-06 | -3.7 | -4.0 |
| 2016-05 | -3.8 | 4.8 |
| 2016-04 | -8.7 | 1.5 |
| 2016-03 | -3.5 | -5.2 |
| 2016-02 | -6.8 | -9.2 |
| 2016-01 | -6.1 | -4.9 |
| 2015-12 | -5.2 | -15.3 |
| 2015-11 | -3.5 | 3.0 |
| 2015-10 | 0.3 | 4.4 |
| 2015-09 | -2.6 | 1.6 |
| 2015-08 | -1.5 | 8.0 |
| 2015-07 | -6.3 | -0.6 |
| 2015-06 | -1.3 | -8.3 |
| 2015-05 | -3.0 | -4.4 |
| 2015-04 | -2.2 | -2.6 |
| 2015-03 | -3.3 | -5.4 |
| 2015-02 | -1.9 | -4.3 |
| 2015-01 | -4.9 | -8.6 |
| 2014-12 | -12.7 | -10.2 |
| 2014-11 | -13.6 | -14.7 |
| 2014-10 | -16.8 | -23.7 |
| 2014-09 | -18.4 | -30.6 |
| 2014-08 | -17.3 | -19.8 |
| 2014-07 | -10.3 | -5.9 |
| 2014-06 | -13.8 | -11.9 |
| 2014-05 | -11.3 | -14.8 |
| 2014-04 | -9.6 | -21.3 |
| 2014-03 | -11.1 | -16.9 |
| 2014-02 | -13.3 | -13.1 |
| 2014-01 | -12.7 | -10.7 |
| 2013-12 | -15.2 | -10.6 |
| 2013-11 | -13.5 | -12.9 |
| 2013-10 | -13.4 | -11.5 |
| 2013-09 | -7.5 | -12.8 |
| 2013-08 | -13.4 | -18.3 |
| 2013-07 | -23.1 | -26.0 |
| 2013-06 | -19.4 | -24.4 |
| 2013-05 | -21.7 | -29.8 |
| 2013-04 | -19.6 | -31.8 |
| 2013-03 | -17.1 | -25.9 |
| 2013-02 | -14.0 | -27.2 |
| 2013-01 | -25.5 | -17.3 |
| 2012-12 | -17.7 | -21.2 |
| 2012-11 | -18.5 | -16.4 |
| 2012-10 | -19.3 | -23.0 |
| 2012-09 | -21.7 | -23.8 |
| 2012-08 | -15.1 | -8.3 |
| 2012-07 | -15.4 | -19.5 |
| 2012-06 | -12.9 | -18.3 |
| 2012-05 | -16.8 | -14.8 |
| 2012-04 | -13.7 | -8.1 |
| 2012-03 | -16.0 | -12.3 |
| 2012-02 | -15.4 | -15.4 |
| 2012-01 | -19.9 | -20.3 |
| 2011-12 | -13.9 | -17.5 |
| 2011-11 | -12.6 | -13.0 |
| 2011-10 | -13.5 | -15.7 |
| 2011-09 | -13.1 | -17.4 |
| 2011-08 | -11.3 | -6.5 |
| 2011-07 | -11.6 | -9.4 |
| 2011-06 | -11.4 | 0.1 |
| 2011-05 | -7.9 | 3.6 |
| 2011-04 | -7.2 | 1.7 |
| 2011-03 | -5.8 | -6.4 |
| 2011-02 | -2.4 | 1.6 |
| 2011-01 | -1.8 | 4.3 |
| 2010-12 | -1.3 | 4.1 |
| 2010-11 | -4.9 | -8.0 |
| 2010-10 | 1.3 | -3.9 |
| 2010-09 | -2.3 | -1.8 |
| 2010-08 | -1.6 | 4.0 |
| 2010-07 | -7.9 | -5.3 |
| 2010-06 | -4.7 | -1.0 |
| 2010-05 | -7.0 | 2.1 |
| 2010-04 | -4.5 | -2.7 |
| 2010-03 | -10.0 | -20.1 |
| 2010-02 | -9.9 | -13.0 |
| 2010-01 | -13.4 | -4.7 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions
- Source: INSEE
The balance on the expected change in the workforce size has retreated in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) but remains stable in trade and repair of motor vehicles
The balance associated with the expected change in the workforce size has retreated in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) and has moved away from its average, while it remains stable in trade and repair of motor vehicles, above its own. The balance on the expected sales has diminished again in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles), while it has increased again in trade and repair of motor vehicles.
The balance associated with the current level of stocks has sharply rebounded in trade and repair of motor vehicles, and has moved above its average. However, it is almost stable in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) above its own. Finally, the balance associated with the general business outlook has sharply retreated in trade and repair of motor vehicles, where it has moved below its average, whereas in retail trade, it has retreated more moderately and has moved closer to its own.
tableauBalances of opinion by sub-sector in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ave. (1) | July 24 | Aug. 24 | Sept. 24 | Oct. 24 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail trade | |||||
| General business outlook | -28 | -30 | -27 | -20 | -22 |
| Recent sales | -8 | -21 | -13 | -9 | -12 |
| Expected sales | -2 | -12 | -6 | -7 | -9 |
| Ordering intentions | -9 | -12 | -8 | -10 | -11 |
| Stocks | 10 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -5 | 6 | - | -2 | - |
| Expected selling prices | -2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Cash position (2) | -14 | -21 | - | -23 | - |
| Past workforce size | 0 | -8 | -8 | -7 | -4 |
| Expected workforce size | -4 | -10 | -8 | -6 | -10 |
| Economic uncertainty felt (3) | 36 | 41 | 35 | 30 | 32 |
| Trade and repair of motor vehicles | |||||
| General business outlook | -25 | -31 | -28 | -23 | -28 |
| Recent sales | -9 | -14 | -19 | -10 | -13 |
| Expected sales | -8 | -12 | -15 | -9 | -7 |
| Ordering intentions | -10 | -21 | -18 | -13 | -10 |
| Stocks | 12 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| Past selling prices (2) | 4 | -8 | - | -2 | - |
| Expected selling prices | 6 | 0 | -6 | -1 | -1 |
| Cash position (2) | -21 | -26 | - | -24 | - |
| Past workforce size | -7 | -3 | -3 | -5 | -6 |
| Expected workforce size | -5 | -5 | 0 | -2 | -2 |
| Economic uncertainty felt (3) | 41 | 33 | 29 | 36 | 34 |
- (1) Average since 1991 for retail trade and 2003 for trade and repair of motor vehicles (except 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions, and April 2021 for uncertainty felt).
- (2) Bimonthly question (odd-numbered months).
- (3) Non-seasonally adjusted balance.
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
Revisions
The business climate for September 2024 in retail trade (including trade and repair of motor vehicles) has not been revised (after rounding).
For more information
The whole sector “retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles” is composed for 66% of retail trade and for 34% of trade and repair of motor vehicles.
For the three-modality questions, a balance of opinion is the difference between weighted percentage of “increase” or “above normal” answers and weighted percentage of “decrease” or “below normal” answers.
This survey is part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys, partly funded by the European Commission.
The responses of this survey were collected between 27 September and 21 October 2024; most companies answer during the first two weeks of collection.
Next issue: 21 November 2024 at 8:45 am.
Documentation
Changes to business tendency surveys – October 2021 (pdf,181 Ko)
Abbreviated methodology (pdf,137 Ko)
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