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Informations Rapides · 21 June 2024 · n° 152
Informations rapidesIn June 2024, the business climate has slightly improved in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles Monthly survey of retailing - June 2024

In June 2024, the business climate has slightly improved in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles overall. At 100, the indicator that synthesizes it lies at its long-term average. The increase in the balance of opinion related to the ordering intentions is tempered by the decline in those related to the past and expected sales.

Informations rapides
No 152
Paru le :Paru le21/06/2024
Prochaine parution le : 25/07/2024 at 08:45 - July 2024
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In June 2024, the business climate has slightly improved in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles overall. At 100, the indicator that synthesizes it lies at its long-term average. The increase in the balance of opinion related to the ordering intentions is tempered by the decline in those related to the past and expected sales.

Composite indicator

Composite indicator
Business climate synthetic indicator
2024-06 99.9
2024-05 99.4
2024-04 101.5
2024-03 100.3
2024-02 99.5
2024-01 103.8
2023-12 99.6
2023-11 96.5
2023-10 98.0
2023-09 102.7
2023-08 105.0
2023-07 105.7
2023-06 101.7
2023-05 96.6
2023-04 100.0
2023-03 97.5
2023-02 100.2
2023-01 99.4
2022-12 98.7
2022-11 96.1
2022-10 97.5
2022-09 96.8
2022-08 99.1
2022-07 95.4
2022-06 94.5
2022-05 94.0
2022-04 91.0
2022-03 98.7
2022-02 105.7
2022-01 104.1
2021-12 106.9
2021-11 107.9
2021-10 106.6
2021-09 108.0
2021-08 110.2
2021-07 114.2
2021-06 116.5
2021-05 107.8
2021-04 91.7
2021-03 96.4
2021-02 89.2
2021-01 93.6
2020-12 93.4
2020-11 70.7
2020-10 98.0
2020-09 98.1
2020-08 96.8
2020-07 90.4
2020-06 86.6
2020-05 61.4
2020-04 57.9
2020-03 93.6
2020-02 107.3
2020-01 106.8
2019-12 108.8
2019-11 106.7
2019-10 106.6
2019-09 107.2
2019-08 103.4
2019-07 106.1
2019-06 104.8
2019-05 105.0
2019-04 107.9
2019-03 105.1
2019-02 103.5
2019-01 102.1
2018-12 100.2
2018-11 107.5
2018-10 107.6
2018-09 110.2
2018-08 116.2
2018-07 114.0
2018-06 113.8
2018-05 113.2
2018-04 113.7
2018-03 114.6
2018-02 117.1
2018-01 117.4
2017-12 116.8
2017-11 116.3
2017-10 116.8
2017-09 113.5
2017-08 111.2
2017-07 112.1
2017-06 111.3
2017-05 107.1
2017-04 105.8
2017-03 107.9
2017-02 107.6
2017-01 108.9
2016-12 108.3
2016-11 103.3
2016-10 102.0
2016-09 102.9
2016-08 104.7
2016-07 104.6
2016-06 104.0
2016-05 106.2
2016-04 103.0
2016-03 103.9
2016-02 102.6
2016-01 104.3
2015-12 101.6
2015-11 105.2
2015-10 108.4
2015-09 106.0
2015-08 106.7
2015-07 103.2
2015-06 104.3
2015-05 103.1
2015-04 103.1
2015-03 102.2
2015-02 102.1
2015-01 98.8
2014-12 94.3
2014-11 92.7
2014-10 89.2
2014-09 88.5
2014-08 90.5
2014-07 96.7
2014-06 94.6
2014-05 96.4
2014-04 96.5
2014-03 95.4
2014-02 94.6
2014-01 95.1
2013-12 94.0
2013-11 91.9
2013-10 95.4
2013-09 97.7
2013-08 93.4
2013-07 85.3
2013-06 84.9
2013-05 83.4
2013-04 84.4
2013-03 86.3
2013-02 89.6
2013-01 84.9
2012-12 87.9
2012-11 88.2
2012-10 87.3
2012-09 85.8
2012-08 90.9
2012-07 89.2
2012-06 93.0
2012-05 90.9
2012-04 96.0
2012-03 93.3
2012-02 90.6
2012-01 88.1
2011-12 92.9
2011-11 93.8
2011-10 94.6
2011-09 93.8
2011-08 98.2
2011-07 101.4
2011-06 102.1
2011-05 104.0
2011-04 103.1
2011-03 103.8
2011-02 106.5
2011-01 106.7
2010-12 107.9
2010-11 104.3
2010-10 107.5
2010-09 105.9
2010-08 106.2
2010-07 101.0
2010-06 101.0
2010-05 101.7
2010-04 103.1
2010-03 97.8
2010-02 98.7
2010-01 98.3
2009-12 96.6
2009-11 98.2
2009-10 92.7
2009-09 90.4
2009-08 87.3
2009-07 86.0
2009-06 79.6
2009-05 80.4
2009-04 75.5
2009-03 82.4
2009-02 78.4
2009-01 77.5
2008-12 76.2
2008-11 83.9
2008-10 80.5
2008-09 96.2
2008-08 93.0
2008-07 95.3
2008-06 99.4
2008-05 103.0
2008-04 103.4
2008-03 109.4
2008-02 108.6
2008-01 110.0
2007-12 114.5
2007-11 112.7
2007-10 111.4
2007-09 111.9
2007-08 115.1
2007-07 117.2
2007-06 120.6
2007-05 114.6
2007-04 113.3
2007-03 111.0
2007-02 112.3
2007-01 107.6
2006-12 108.3
2006-11 110.8
2006-10 111.6
2006-09 110.3
2006-08 109.6
2006-07 108.0
2006-06 107.5
2006-05 105.2
2006-04 103.5
2006-03 102.2
2006-02 102.5
2006-01 103.0
2005-12 103.9
2005-11 99.5
2005-10 101.6
2005-09 98.9
2005-08 97.6
2005-07 95.8
2005-06 97.8
2005-05 101.2
2005-04 103.5
2005-03 104.1
2005-02 103.6
2005-01 105.9

Composite indicator

  • Source: INSEE

The balance of opinion related to the ordering intentions has rebounded

In June 2024, the balance related to the ordering intentions has rebounded sharply and has moved above its long-term average. Conversely, the one on the general business outlook has diminished again slightly and has moved closer to its own. The balance on the past sales has for its part kept declining and the one the expected sales has retreated, both of them moving away from their average.

Besides, the balance of opinion associated with the expected change in the workforce size has rebounded and has moved closer to its average, while the one related to its past change has retreated and has moved away from its own.

The balance of opinion associated with the current level of stocks is almost stable and remains above its average. Finally, the business managers are slightly fewer than the previous month in considering that the evolution of their business situation is difficult to forecast.

Tendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles

Balances of opinion, in %, S.A.
Tendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles (Balances of opinion, in %, S.A.)
Ave. (1) Mar. 24 Apr. 24 May 24 June 24
Business climate 100 100 102 99 100
General business outlook -27 -21 -18 -19 -20
Recent sales -9 -11 -6 -11 -16
Expected sales -4 -3 -7 -5 -8
Ordering intentions -9 -9 -9 -12 -8
Stocks 10 16 14 16 15
Past selling prices (2) -3 4 2
Expected selling prices 0 5 -2 1 2
Cash position (2) -15 -18 -23
Past workforce size -1 -9 -12 -6 -9
Expected workforce size -4 -8 -6 -11 -9
Economic uncertainty felt (3) 38 35 31 36 34
  • (1) Average since 1991 (except 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions, and April 2021 for uncertainty felt).
  • (2) Bimonthly question (odd-numbered months).
  • (3) Non-seasonally adjusted balance.
  • Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles

Recent sales and ordering intentions

Recent sales and ordering intentions
Ordering intentions Recent sales
2024-06 -8.3 -15.8
2024-05 -11.5 -10.5
2024-04 -9.2 -5.8
2024-03 -9.0 -11.0
2024-02 -8.6 -13.1
2024-01 -6.3 -0.6
2023-12 -13.5 -12.6
2023-11 -15.2 -14.2
2023-10 -11.6 -5.2
2023-09 -7.8 1.7
2023-08 -8.0 6.2
2023-07 -8.5 -1.9
2023-06 -8.8 -9.1
2023-05 -16.0 -5.8
2023-04 -11.3 -1.6
2023-03 -14.9 -5.7
2023-02 -10.4 -1.2
2023-01 -11.8 6.0
2022-12 -10.4 -1.4
2022-11 -15.4 2.1
2022-10 -8.7 -2.8
2022-09 -13.9 -4.9
2022-08 -7.4 -12.3
2022-07 -10.7 -20.4
2022-06 -12.6 -16.1
2022-05 -14.4 -12.9
2022-04 -18.7 -18.6
2022-03 -5.0 -12.4
2022-02 -3.1 -7.0
2022-01 -3.3 -4.7
2021-12 -1.6 -6.2
2021-11 -0.5 -11.0
2021-10 -3.8 -17.6
2021-09 -2.0 -11.2
2021-08 3.9 11.0
2021-07 2.6 0.3
2021-06 1.0 -2.0
2021-05 -7.2 -10.9
2021-04 -16.0 -7.4
2021-03 -8.5 -16.4
2021-02 -15.5 -14.1
2021-01 -13.4 -5.4
2020-12 -11.4 -21.8
2020-11 -37.0 7.4
2020-10 0.4 -2.1
2020-09 -6.3 6.2
2020-08 -3.9 -9.9
2020-07 -9.6 -42.0
2020-06 -13.8 -48.2
2020-05 -47.3 -56.4
2020-04 -56.4 -4.3
2020-03 -12.5 -4.4
2020-02 -0.6 1.6
2020-01 -2.8 11.1
2019-12 1.3 -1.5
2019-11 -1.0 -5.8
2019-10 -2.5 -6.3
2019-09 -3.7 0.5
2019-08 -7.8 -5.0
2019-07 -5.0 -3.7
2019-06 -7.6 -9.0
2019-05 -6.3 -10.9
2019-04 0.3 -12.9
2019-03 -2.4 -17.9
2019-02 -6.2 -10.0
2019-01 -6.4 -9.1
2018-12 -5.6 -9.1
2018-11 -0.6 -6.8
2018-10 -2.2 -8.1
2018-09 0.6 2.0
2018-08 13.4 0.3
2018-07 3.7 -2.1
2018-06 5.2 -8.7
2018-05 2.6 -6.9
2018-04 2.1 -9.7
2018-03 2.3 -8.2
2018-02 4.2 5.1
2018-01 6.3 1.9
2017-12 5.9 1.5
2017-11 7.7 -5.1
2017-10 9.3 -0.4
2017-09 2.3 -1.6
2017-08 -0.8 -1.0
2017-07 -1.4 5.5
2017-06 -1.0 -5.9
2017-05 -3.2 -5.5
2017-04 -3.5 -11.9
2017-03 0.2 -1.8
2017-02 -0.4 4.2
2017-01 1.5 1.0
2016-12 -0.1 -1.2
2016-11 -9.2 -6.3
2016-10 -8.2 -10.7
2016-09 -6.1 -10.5
2016-08 -3.9 -4.1
2016-07 -5.1 -5.1
2016-06 -3.7 -4.0
2016-05 -3.8 4.8
2016-04 -8.7 1.5
2016-03 -3.5 -5.2
2016-02 -6.8 -9.2
2016-01 -6.1 -4.9
2015-12 -5.2 -15.3
2015-11 -3.5 3.0
2015-10 0.3 4.4
2015-09 -2.6 1.6
2015-08 -1.5 8.0
2015-07 -6.3 -0.6
2015-06 -1.3 -8.3
2015-05 -3.0 -4.4
2015-04 -2.2 -2.6
2015-03 -3.3 -5.4
2015-02 -1.9 -4.3
2015-01 -4.9 -8.6
2014-12 -12.7 -10.2
2014-11 -13.6 -14.7
2014-10 -16.8 -23.7
2014-09 -18.4 -30.6
2014-08 -17.3 -19.8
2014-07 -10.3 -5.9
2014-06 -13.8 -11.9
2014-05 -11.3 -14.8
2014-04 -9.6 -21.3
2014-03 -11.1 -16.9
2014-02 -13.3 -13.1
2014-01 -12.7 -10.7
2013-12 -15.2 -10.6
2013-11 -13.5 -12.9
2013-10 -13.4 -11.5
2013-09 -7.5 -12.8
2013-08 -13.4 -18.3
2013-07 -23.1 -26.0
2013-06 -19.4 -24.4
2013-05 -21.7 -29.8
2013-04 -19.6 -31.8
2013-03 -17.1 -25.9
2013-02 -14.0 -27.2
2013-01 -25.5 -17.3
2012-12 -17.7 -21.2
2012-11 -18.5 -16.4
2012-10 -19.3 -23.0
2012-09 -21.7 -23.8
2012-08 -15.1 -8.3
2012-07 -15.4 -19.5
2012-06 -12.9 -18.3
2012-05 -16.8 -14.8
2012-04 -13.7 -8.1
2012-03 -16.0 -12.3
2012-02 -15.4 -15.4
2012-01 -19.9 -20.3
2011-12 -13.9 -17.5
2011-11 -12.6 -13.0
2011-10 -13.5 -15.7
2011-09 -13.1 -17.4
2011-08 -11.3 -6.5
2011-07 -11.6 -9.4
2011-06 -11.4 0.1
2011-05 -7.9 3.6
2011-04 -7.2 1.7
2011-03 -5.8 -6.4
2011-02 -2.4 1.6
2011-01 -1.8 4.3
2010-12 -1.3 4.1
2010-11 -4.9 -8.0
2010-10 1.3 -3.9
2010-09 -2.3 -1.8
2010-08 -1.6 4.0
2010-07 -7.9 -5.3
2010-06 -4.7 -1.0
2010-05 -7.0 2.1
2010-04 -4.5 -2.7
2010-03 -10.0 -20.1
2010-02 -9.9 -13.0
2010-01 -13.4 -4.7

Recent sales and ordering intentions

  • Source: INSEE

The balance of opinion on the expected prices is almost stable

In June 2024, the balance of opinion on the expected selling prices is almost stable and remains just above its long-term average.

Expected prices in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles

Expected prices in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
Expected prices
2024-06 2.4
2024-05 1.5
2024-04 -1.7
2024-03 4.5
2024-02 7.2
2024-01 3.2
2023-12 9.1
2023-11 8.0
2023-10 13.6
2023-09 14.4
2023-08 13.9
2023-07 14.4
2023-06 18.8
2023-05 26.8
2023-04 37.0
2023-03 46.7
2023-02 45.3
2023-01 41.2
2022-12 37.3
2022-11 38.2
2022-10 44.5
2022-09 40.9
2022-08 42.2
2022-07 40.3
2022-06 41.0
2022-05 41.3
2022-04 36.1
2022-03 37.5
2022-02 35.8
2022-01 26.1
2021-12 24.9
2021-11 26.2
2021-10 23.5
2021-09 15.1
2021-08 14.4
2021-07 13.4
2021-06 10.1
2021-05 3.7
2021-04 0.5
2021-03 1.7
2021-02 -0.2
2021-01 0.3
2020-12 -3.9
2020-11 -4.0
2020-10 2.9
2020-09 1.0
2020-08 -0.1
2020-07 -2.7
2020-06 -3.6
2020-05 -8.2
2020-04 -8.1
2020-03 -1.5
2020-02 2.1
2020-01 -0.2
2019-12 3.0
2019-11 1.5
2019-10 3.9
2019-09 1.8
2019-08 -1.0
2019-07 -1.2
2019-06 -3.3
2019-05 -0.5
2019-04 2.3
2019-03 0.9
2019-02 0.3
2019-01 -2.9
2018-12 4.1
2018-11 -1.3
2018-10 -0.6
2018-09 0.3
2018-08 -1.6
2018-07 0.7
2018-06 -3.3
2018-05 -2.0
2018-04 -3.0
2018-03 -3.4
2018-02 0.9
2018-01 -3.5
2017-12 -1.6
2017-11 1.4
2017-10 3.6
2017-09 -2.0
2017-08 -0.4
2017-07 -2.5
2017-06 -2.1
2017-05 -7.4
2017-04 -4.2
2017-03 -1.1
2017-02 -4.1
2017-01 0.2
2016-12 -0.7
2016-11 -1.2
2016-10 -7.3
2016-09 -6.5
2016-08 -4.2
2016-07 -4.5
2016-06 -7.6
2016-05 -4.7
2016-04 -6.4
2016-03 -5.1
2016-02 -6.6
2016-01 -8.3
2015-12 -7.5
2015-11 -2.8
2015-10 -3.0
2015-09 -7.2
2015-08 -7.8
2015-07 -5.6
2015-06 -3.1
2015-05 -7.4
2015-04 -5.3
2015-03 -9.3
2015-02 -10.0
2015-01 -11.7
2014-12 -11.4
2014-11 -11.8
2014-10 -13.8
2014-09 -14.0
2014-08 -12.2
2014-07 -9.7
2014-06 -13.9
2014-05 -14.2
2014-04 -16.4
2014-03 -12.7
2014-02 -10.3
2014-01 -2.4
2013-12 -1.0
2013-11 -3.6
2013-10 -2.9
2013-09 -0.5
2013-08 -3.5
2013-07 -1.6
2013-06 -6.9
2013-05 -0.7
2013-04 -13.8
2013-03 -1.6
2013-02 -8.2
2013-01 -6.3
2012-12 -1.6
2012-11 -5.0
2012-10 -4.8
2012-09 -0.9
2012-08 -3.6
2012-07 -1.8
2012-06 -2.0
2012-05 -1.6
2012-04 -1.2
2012-03 3.7
2012-02 3.7
2012-01 5.1
2011-12 7.1
2011-11 4.8
2011-10 3.3
2011-09 3.3
2011-08 5.2
2011-07 4.8
2011-06 5.2
2011-05 9.7
2011-04 9.0
2011-03 7.6
2011-02 5.8
2011-01 2.5
2010-12 -1.4
2010-11 -0.2
2010-10 0.8
2010-09 -1.7
2010-08 -5.0
2010-07 -3.6
2010-06 -0.8
2010-05 -3.4
2010-04 -4.2
2010-03 -4.3
2010-02 -5.0
2010-01 -5.7
2009-12 -5.7
2009-11 -9.3
2009-10 -8.0
2009-09 -4.9
2009-08 -11.4
2009-07 -5.7
2009-06 -16.4
2009-05 -17.4
2009-04 -18.3
2009-03 -30.6
2009-02 -17.4
2009-01 -17.8
2008-12 -20.4
2008-11 -26.8
2008-10 -6.3
2008-09 -15.4
2008-08 4.6
2008-07 6.0
2008-06 3.8
2008-05 1.9
2008-04 1.5
2008-03 8.1
2008-02 1.5
2008-01 5.4
2007-12 3.1
2007-11 14.5
2007-10 0.0
2007-09 7.8
2007-08 0.7
2007-07 -6.0
2007-06 -5.0
2007-05 -1.7
2007-04 -8.9
2007-03 -5.8
2007-02 -1.7
2007-01 -6.2

Expected prices in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles

  • Source: INSEE

The rebound of the ordering intentions relates both to retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) and to trade and repair of motor vehicles

The balance associated with the expected change in the workforce size has rebounded in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) but remains sharply below its long-term average; in trade and repair of motor vehicles, it has retreated while remaining above its own.

For its part, the balance associated with the ordering intentions has increased in both sub-sectors. However, if it has moved away from its average in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles), it has moved closer to it in trade and repair of motor vehicles. The balances related to the past and expected sales have diminished in both sub-sectors, though, and have moved away from their long-term average.

The balance associated with the general business outlook has diminished again in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) and has moved closer to its average, while it has increased in trade and repair of motor vehicles and has moved away from its own.

Finally, the balance on the expected selling prices has increased again in trade and repair of motor vehicles and has moved closer to its average; in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles), it remains almost stable above its own.

Balances of opinion by sub-sector in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles

Balances of opinion, in %, S.A.
Balances of opinion by sub-sector in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles (Balances of opinion, in %, S.A.)
Ave. (1) Mar. 24 Apr. 24 May 24 June 24
Retail trade
General business outlook -27 -21 -17 -18 -21
Recent sales -8 -11 -4 -15 -17
Expected sales -2 2 -7 -4 -5
Ordering intentions -9 -9 -7 -10 -7
Stocks 10 16 14 14 14
Past selling prices (2) -5 5 - 5 -
Expected selling prices -2 8 1 4 3
Cash position (2) -14 -20 - -25 -
Past workforce size 0 -12 -13 -6 -10
Expected workforce size -4 -10 -7 -14 -12
Economic uncertainty felt (3) 36 35 32 36 34
Trade and repair of motor vehicles
General business outlook -25 -19 -20 -19 -18
Recent sales -9 -11 -11 -1 -14
Expected sales -8 -13 -7 -9 -12
Ordering intentions -10 -10 -14 -15 -11
Stocks 12 16 15 21 17
Past selling prices (2) 5 3 - -5 -
Expected selling prices 7 -3 -8 -4 2
Cash position (2) -21 -15 - -19 -
Past workforce size -7 4 -7 -5 -5
Expected workforce size -5 -2 1 3 -1
Economic uncertainty felt (3) 42 36 31 37 36
  • (1) Average since 1991 for retail trade and 2003 for trade and repair of motor vehicles (except 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions, and April 2021 for uncertainty felt).
  • (2) Bimonthly question (odd-numbered months).
  • (3) Non-seasonally adjusted balance.
  • Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles

Revisions

The business climate for May 2024 in retail trade (including trade and repair of motor vehicles) has not been revised (after rounding).

For more information

The whole sector “retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles” is composed for 70% of retail trade and for 30% of trade and repair of motor vehicles.

For the three-modality questions, a balance of opinion is the difference between weighted percentage of “increase” or “above normal” answers and weighted percentage of “decrease” or “below normal” answers.

This survey is part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys, partly funded by the European Commission.

Company responses were collected between 27 May and 18 June 2024; most companies answer during the first two weeks of collection.

Next issue: 25 July 2024 at 8:45 am.

Documentation

Changes to business tendency surveys – October 2021 (pdf,181 Ko)

Abbreviated methodology (pdf,137 Ko)

Retail trade and in the trade and repair of motor vehicles (Monthly survey in the)

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