7 May 2020

2020- n° 117
In March 2020, manufacturing output plummeted (−18.2%) Industrial production index - March 2020

In March 2020, output slumped in the manufacturing industry (−18.2%, after +0.9%), as well as in the whole industry (−16.2%, after +0.8%).

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N^o 117

Paru le :Paru le07/05/2020

Prochaine parution le : 02/08/2024 at 08:45 - June 2024

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Please note:

Given the context of the general lockdown since 17 March, response rates for business survey about March 2020 (collected during April) are lower than usual. Therefore, the results presented here might be more revised than usually in the next publication, which will take into account the answers delivered late. Then, the data on which INSEE usually relies to compile the construction production index could not be processed or collected for both February and March. In order to produce an estimation, INSEE and the statistical service of the Ministry of Ecological and Inclusive Transition (SDES) relied on auxiliary data. The treatments implemented are explained in the methodological note referenced in the “Documentation” section.

All series are seasonally (SA) and working-day adjusted (WDA).

The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.

The treatments implemented for March 2020 are explained in the methodological note referenced in the documentation section.

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Documentation

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Sommaire

Over the first quarter 2020, manufacturing output declined (−6.1%)
Over a year, manufacturing output went also down (−7.8%)
In March 2020, output decreased markedly in all industrial sections
For further information

In March 2020, output slumped in the manufacturing industry (−18.2%, after +0.9%), as well as in the whole industry (−16.2%, after +0.8%).

Over the first quarter 2020, manufacturing output declined (−6.1%)

Over the last quarter, output decreased sharply in manufacturing industry (−6.1%), as well as in the whole industry (−5.6%).

Over this period, output slumped in the manufacture of transport equipment (−14.3%) and in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (−14.0%). It also diminished in “other manufacturing”(−5.8%), in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−5.3%), in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−2.6%). Output fell moderately in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−0.7%).

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tableauMonthly Industrial Production Indices

Monthly Industrial Production Indices
	(C1)	(C3)	(C4)	(C5)	CZ
2014-01	99.11	99.49	96.4	98.18	98.24
2014-02	100.61	102.36	97.4	100.21	100.11
2014-03	98.2	101.88	97.46	99.55	99.34
2014-04	100.45	99.53	98.09	99.98	99.67
2014-05	98.68	96.15	92.7	96.75	96.34
2014-06	98.91	100.19	99.77	98.87	99.11
2014-07	99.49	102.05	103.3	99.48	100.32
2014-08	98.57	94.84	98.71	98.85	98.17
2014-09	99.89	98.72	97.23	99.61	99.18
2014-10	98.65	97.52	97.58	98.02	97.98
2014-11	97.31	97.58	91.49	97.57	96.68
2014-12	98.93	103.29	97.7	98.68	99.29
2015-01	98.93	98.36	98.69	99.27	99.04
2015-02	97.97	97.13	102.99	99.34	99.38
2015-03	100.21	98.75	100.21	99.54	99.82
2015-04	99.8	99.59	98.09	99.93	99.63
2015-05	100.41	103.02	100.37	100.41	100.77
2015-06	100.8	102.74	100.39	99.53	100.21
2015-07	100.63	96.63	96.63	99.24	98.65
2015-08	99.95	99.82	100.13	99.59	99.62
2015-09	100.93	104.35	102.8	100.19	101.32
2015-10	100.31	102.07	102.8	99.99	100.79
2015-11	99.74	98.61	97.4	100.59	99.71
2015-12	100.32	98.93	99.5	102.38	101.07
2016-01	100.86	100.14	107.86	102.47	102.58
2016-02	99.82	100.91	105.65	99.52	100.63
2016-03	99.92	98.61	103.03	99.23	99.81
2016-04	98.36	98.84	108.37	100.22	100.88
2016-05	97.65	98.97	103.22	100.44	99.93
2016-06	97.51	96.78	105.36	99.31	99.16
2016-07	99.07	97.39	100.78	99.99	99.58
2016-08	100.01	101.09	102.09	101.18	101.08
2016-09	100.4	99.95	101.99	100.31	100.48
2016-10	99.15	96.97	104.99	98.58	99.37
2016-11	100.01	102.0	104.88	102.55	102.49
2016-12	99.56	101.11	104.24	100.54	101.04
2017-01	97.61	99.09	106.55	100.6	100.64
2017-02	98.93	101.72	103.84	101.15	101.1
2017-03	98.91	102.61	109.42	102.45	102.71
2017-04	98.37	102.4	103.82	102.21	101.8
2017-05	99.51	106.17	109.54	103.57	104.02
2017-06	99.07	103.64	106.75	103.37	103.17
2017-07	99.77	104.5	109.9	103.49	103.79
2017-08	100.35	103.01	113.2	102.67	103.68
2017-09	99.62	103.29	112.86	104.05	104.3
2017-10	99.2	107.51	113.5	105.69	105.82
2017-11	99.87	103.58	114.42	105.84	105.64
2017-12	98.92	108.17	113.61	106.88	106.55
2018-01	98.22	104.69	113.42	103.16	103.85
2018-02	97.95	103.35	107.85	102.75	102.67
2018-03	99.14	105.99	107.73	104.76	104.25
2018-04	98.71	101.2	113.83	104.67	104.13
2018-05	99.26	102.57	109.93	102.96	102.76
2018-06	98.46	102.33	114.57	104.93	104.58
2018-07	98.17	104.23	116.89	103.71	104.44
2018-08	99.11	104.7	112.08	105.19	104.9
2018-09	97.34	101.91	112.13	104.28	103.74
2018-10	98.31	105.55	111.67	105.05	104.79
2018-11	97.12	103.0	112.82	104.33	103.86
2018-12	98.35	102.37	120.3	104.88	105.26
2019-01	99.43	106.65	115.43	105.34	105.75
2019-02	98.0	105.26	115.55	106.09	105.74
2019-03	97.49	108.23	115.03	104.92	105.29
2019-04	98.87	109.4	111.63	104.77	105.15
2019-05	98.56	107.26	115.88	107.17	106.63
2019-06	97.83	105.09	111.1	104.4	103.94
2019-07	97.27	104.57	112.57	105.12	104.41
2019-08	96.84	101.27	113.7	104.07	103.5
2019-09	98.3	105.52	111.45	105.11	104.45
2019-10	97.73	103.49	110.82	107.05	104.91
2019-11	98.11	103.65	113.05	104.98	104.15
2019-12	97.5	99.12	109.57	103.39	102.11
2020-01	97.75	103.44	106.94	104.67	103.06
2020-02	98.67	104.45	108.98	105.25	103.98
2020-03	94.84	82.04	69.88	87.14	85.01

Legend: CZ: Manufacturing - (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages - (C3): Machinery and equipment goods - (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment - (C5): Other manufacturing.

graphiqueMonthly Industrial Production Indices

Chargement en cours — Legend: CZ: Manufacturing - (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages - (C3): Machinery and equipment goods - (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment - (C5): Other manufacturing.

*Sources: INSEE, SSP, SDES*

Over a year, manufacturing output went also down (−7.8%)

In the manufacturing industry, cumulative output over the last quarter declined sharply compared to the same quarter a year ago (−7.8%), as well as in the whole industry (−7.3%).

Over a year, quarter’s output went down sharply in “other manufacturing” (−6.1%), in the manufacture of transport equipment (−17.4%), in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−9.4%) and in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−4.4%). It slumped in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (−40.0%). It declined more moderately in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−1.2%).

tableauVariation in the Industrial Production

2015 based, SA–WDA changes in %

Variation in the Industrial Production (2015 based, SA–WDA changes in %)
NA : A10, (A17)	March / Feb.	Feb. / Jan.	Q–o–Q change (1)	Year–on–year change (2)
BE: INDUSTRY	–16.2	0.8	–5.6	–7.3
CZ: Manufacturing	–18.2	0.9	–6.1	–7.8
(C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages	–3.9	0.9	–0.7	–1.2
(C2): Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products	–34.3	4.8	–14.0	–40.0
(C3): Machinery and equipment goods	–21.5	1.0	–5.3	–9.4
(C4): Manufacture of transport equipment	–35.9	1.9	–14.3	–17.4
(C5): Other manufacturing	–17.2	0.6	–5.8	–6.1
DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management	–4.1	0.6	–2.6	–4.4
FZ: CONSTRUCTION	–40.1	1.1	–12.0	–14.3

The codes correspond to the level of aggregation A 10 (A 17) of the "NA" aggregated classification based on the French classification of activities NAF rev.2.
(1) Last three months / previous three months
(2) Last three months / same three months of previous year
// Not available
Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES

In March 2020, output decreased markedly in all industrial sections

Output decreased strongly in “other manufacturing” (−17.2% after +0.6%). It fell in all subsection, with the exception of pharmaceuticals. Within ”other manufacturing”, some activities declined less sharply, such as sub-branches in the manufacture of paper and paper products or in chemicals. Output plummeted in the manufacture of transport equipment (−35.9% after +1.9%), particularly in the manufacture of of motor vehicles, trailers and semi−trailers. It slumped also in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−21.5% after +1.0%), with a more moderate decrease in the manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products, and in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum (−34.3% after +4.8%). It diminished more moderately in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−4.1% after +0.6%) and in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−3.9% after +0.9%). Conversely, in this last section, such activities like the manufacture of prepared meals and dishes and the manufacture of baby food (class 10.86 of the Nace) increased.

tableauVariation in the Industrial Production

2015 based, SA–WDA changes in %

Variation in the Industrial Production (2015 based, SA–WDA changes in %)
NA : A10, (A17), [A38 or A64]	March 2020	March / Feb.	Feb. / Jan.	Quarter–on–quarter change
BE: INDUSTRY	86.2	–16.2	0.8	–5.6
CZ: Manufacturing	85.0	–18.2	0.9	–6.1
(C1): Man. of food products and beverages	94.8	–3.9	0.9	–0.7
(C2): Man. of coke and refined petroleum products	43.8	–34.3	4.8	–14
(C3): Machinery and equipment goods	82.0	–21.5	1.0	–5.3
[CI] Man. of computer, electronic and optical products	98.6	–11.3	0.0	–3.6
[CJ] Man. of electrical equipment	73.4	–24.9	3.2	–3.8
[CK] Man. of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (1)	70.3	–30.8	0.9	–8.2
(C4): Man. of transport equipment	69.9	–35.9	1.9	–14.3
[CL1] Man. of motor vehicles, trailers and semi–trailers	52.1	–49.7	3.5	–18.4
[CL2] Man. of other transport equipment	85.0	–25.2	0.7	–11.1
(C5): Other manufacturing	87.1	–17.2	0.6	–5.8
[CB] Man. of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products	72.1	–27.9	–1.0	–7.6
[CC] Man. of wood and paper products; printing and reproduction of recorded media	85.2	–15.2	2.0	–4.8
[CE] Man. of chemicals and chemical products	93.4	–11.3	3.9	–4.0
[CF] Man. of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations	133.2	15.9	–5.3	1.9
[CG] Man. of rubber and plastics products, and other nonmetallic mineral products	72.7	–31.4	2.1	–7.5
[CH] Man. of basic metals and fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment	72.1	–27.7	2.7	–10.1
[CM] Other manufacturing; repair and installation of machinery and equipment	88.7	–18	–1.4	–6.2
DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management	92.6	–4.1	0.6	–2.6
[BZ] Mining and quarrying	71.8	–33.1	–0.4	–9.0
[DZ] Electricity, gas, steam and air–conditioning supply	93.8	–2.7	0.6	–2.3
[EZ] Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation	91.2	–1.6	1.1	–2
FZ: CONSTRUCTION	62.3	–40.1	1.1	–12
MIGs (2)
Capital goods	81.1	–24.4	0.0	–8.9
Intermediate goods	79.9	–21	3.1	–5.4
Consumer durables	64.4	–45.4	5.2	–17.1
Consumer non–durables	99.9	–4.1	–1.1	–2.2
Energy	89.5	–4.4	0.8	–3.0

(1) n.e.c. : not elsewhere classifiable
2) Main industrial groupings: definition in Commission regulation EC of 14 June 2007
// Not available
Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES

tableauRevision of variations

(in percentage point)

Revision of variations ((in percentage point))
	Feb. / Jan.	Jan. / Dec.	Dec. / Nov.	Q4 2019 / Q3 2019	2019 / 2018
Industry (BE)	–0.07	–0.24	0.15	–0.07	0.00
raw serie	0.04	–0.07	0.04	–0.02	0.00
SA–WDA parameters	–0.11	–0.17	0.11	–0.05	0.00
Manufacturing (CZ)	–0.04	–0.24	0.17	–0.05	0.00
raw serie	0.10	–0.09	0.05	–0.02	0.01
SA–WDA parameters	–0.14	–0.15	0.12	–0.03	–0.01

How to read it: in the manufacturing sector, the SA–WDA variation between January and February 2020 is revised by –0.04 points, 0.10 points are due to the revision of the raw series and –0.14 points to the updating of the SA–WDA parameters.
Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES